India Uncut

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Friday, December 02, 2005

What is a prediction?

"[J]ust an exclamation point added to an analysis," according to one definition of the word in Louis Menand's superb review of Philip Tetlock's "Expert Political Judgment" in the New Yorker. Apparently, pundits get a lot of stuff wrong. No kidding?
amit varma, 6:32 PM| write to me | permalink | homepage

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